Methodology

Macro-Data Intelligence uses an open-source intelligence briefing format: concise, evidence-led, transparent about uncertainty, and designed for readers who need the bottom line without rhetorical noise.

Analytic Standard

  • Separate known facts from assessments and assumptions.
  • State key judgments clearly and early.
  • Use confidence language consistently.
  • Include plausible alternative explanations.
  • Identify key uncertainties and indicators to watch.
  • Attach source notes to substantive claims wherever practical.

Confidence Language

HighStrong, consistent evidence from multiple credible sources.
ModerateGood evidence, with meaningful gaps, uncertainty, or competing interpretations.
LowPlausible but limited, indirect, early, or contested evidence.
MixedConfidence varies materially across key judgments.

Corrections and Updates

Material changes should be reflected in the briefing itself and noted in the update history. Macro-Data Intelligence does not imply classified access; products are based on public information, open-source reporting, and structured analysis.